Understanding emerging issues and megatrends
Over recent years CEP has developed significant expertise in the development and application of methods to identify and understand emerging issues and global megatrends.
Method development projects include assisting the European Commission (DG Environment) in the development of a methodological framework for the systematic identification of emerging risks to the environment, and supporting the European Environment Agency network of foresight experts (with funding from the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment) by developing a methodological toolkit for understanding the implications of global megatrends at the national level (see figure below). Both projects adopted a participatory approach, drawing on the knowledge and needs of those who will be using the methods. This approach combined our technical expertise in applied methodologies for policy, with our skills in stakeholder engagement and facilitation.
Subsequently, CEP has supported national and European clients in understanding the implications, risks and opportunities emerging from global megatrends, for example:
In 2018, CEP was commissioned to support DG Environment in the implementation of the EU foresight system detect emerging environmental issues. Named FORENV, this project aims to ‘improve the understanding of policy-makers of emerging environmental issues by supporting yearly cycles of the system set up by the Environment Knowledge Community (EKC) based on the methodology developed under the project methodological framework for the systematic identification of emerging issues and related risks and opportunities’ (2018 – 2019).
The Environment Ministry of Slovenia has recently asked CEP to support a study on the implications of global megatrends for Slovenia, with a focus on how global trends will impact on Slovenia’s ability to meet national environmental goals (2017-2018).
The European Environment Agency commissioned CEP as part of a project lead by the European Topic Centre for Inland, Coastal and Marine waters to undertake a study on the implications of global megatrends for the Western Balkans, with a focus on the water, energy and food nexus (2016-2017).